Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Caught you again

With the whole statistical reasonableness(is that a word?) thing.

45 hands over two tourneys without an Ace. You should get an Ace once every 6.5 hands. The first ten hands - One Queen, highest card. Paired with an offsuit 2 and totally uncallable with the table full.

And over that same period I had a pocket pair of threes and no other pockets. That should happen about once every thirteen hands.

Over a short term this may not be so bad, but when I play thousands of hands a week and constantly see this it gets a little bit

bogus.

I noticed two more things. I win on the big blind far more than I should. I'm forced to play instead of going into my ultra-conservative fold mold. And the first tourney had lots of idle chit chat and looked pre-programmed. The second - 30 hands+ not a peep from anyone. The sense I get is this was a training game against playing against bad AI. Finished third.
The friendly, chatty gal to my left in the first tourney constantly had AQ, K9, A6 suited, etc... - she showed her cards.

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