This started a couple of weeks ago after being suspicious. There was a break when I got some decent cards. For maybe three or four tourneys in a row. Which was good for me since chips are a necessary evil to be allowed to play.
The 18 player two table games on Full Tilt - why is it that all my good hole cards are (almost always) backloaded, that is, after 15 or so hands have already been played? The trusty pad of paper and pen have been very busy counting cards lately. When you don't get any pocket pairs in one 26 hand game, you can shake it off and just go, oh well, bad luck. The number 26 was purposefully chosen since statistically you should have had two.
Since I'm more than willing to fold I get to stay alive very deep into the tourneys. Lots of raising with lots of decent hands backing them up. I'm folding precious few hands that would have won, until I get to the point where there's only four people left at the table, and suddenly the poker Gods decide to try and even out the mistakes.
So, like I said about having one bad game - how about if it happens time after time? Over a period of several weeks? That's a little bit strange. So, the trusty pad of paper and pen have this to report over the last five tourneys -
Hands played until first pocket pair caught (and mind you this isn't even neccessarily a high pair)
46,17,68(!!), 59(!!), and 38. Atotal 0f 228 hands with 5 pocket pairs when I should have had 17. I'll grant some leniency on the 38 hand game since I had pocket queens on the first hand, folded them immediately, and not surprisingly they would have lost to Aces. OK, 6 pairs instead of 17.
The idea is, that the first time you get the most marginal of hands - like calling with a T9 suited, you flop a T and end up wasting most or all of your chips, and you never get to see that your cards are rigged to be so stitiscally crappy.
Folding is the number one weapon of the forensic poker investigator.
No comments:
Post a Comment