You never know where I'm going to pop in to ply my trade. Crazy Pineapple high low 50-100 limit last night. Tonight's fun - a 3 table sit and go with a lousy little $100 buy in and a first place prize of $1,050 that my $160,000 plus chips doesn't care about.
Mostly from my months of play on NLOP I've discovered that there's no such thing as playing it by the book and expecting to win. I constantly have to play extremely short stacked. Even for the low level of the game, tonight I prepared myself for a famous pad of paper and pen night to log what kind of cards I was getting.
First of all, to all my detractors...I can assure you. If I say I got pocket kings three hands in a row, it really happened. If I saw someone win 10 hands in a row on a full table, it really happened. If I saw two different sites have every single position raise every chance every bet for a month, it really happened. If I folded my way into winning second place on NLOP without winning a single hand multiple times, it really happened.
Once things got off to a bad start tonight my radar was up and I sat back and just kept logging my cards on the paper. And continued to watch as the statistical anomaly just kept growing and growing. For pride I am happy to announce that I did take 4th out of 30 and won a ridiculously small amount of chips for an hour and half of my life. But, even these few chips were recognition of the system, playing anti-poker and waiting for the game to switch out of phase 1 into phase 2. (And the not unexpected phase three showed up later.)
I ran the numbers from my pad of paper into a spreadsheet. Assigning a value to the cards 2=2, etc...J=11, Q=12, K=13, A=14 I can see the value of my hands versus a statiscal average. The average value for two cards is 8*2 = 16. I finally got my first ace on HAND #39. Statistically, receiving an ace every 6.5 hands, this is freaking ridiculous. And the average value of my hands, not counting #39 when I finally hit my first ace had a differential of -63, or somewher around -1.5 per hand. So, while it can be assumed that everyone is getting an average count of 16 per hand, I only get 14.5.
This isn't earth shattering over the short term. But an hour into an almost 40 hand game it's starting to get a little out of control. And my main point with mentioning NLOP, this is not an isolated incident. I get crappy cards. But, I'm not supposed to notice it because when I do get those pocket kings on hand 3 and lose it all, I'm away from the table and don't get to see the insanity continue.
Phase 2 -surprised that I'm still alive an reached the final table, I couldn't have paid anyone to get bad cards. After an hour of boredom for the normal person, I get to actually bet, bluff and play like things SHOULD be from hand one.
Phase 3 - I've already locked up fourth place. Time for some erstwhile big betters to get all conservative and stop raising to make sure that I don't get any better - even for a lousy couple hundred of chips - playing to make me lose instead of playing to win.
What I really need to do is to start recording these games so all can share in the magic of internet poker bs. Blogger won't let me add the spreadsheet now. I'll try agian later.
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