Friday, June 29, 2007

This was supposed to be a quiet night of getting cheated some more. But their poker server conveniently went down after I kicked ass.

Three all ins where it took bad beats to make me die. Other tourneys I've used my tried and true fold like crazy strategy to watch the AI beat themselves do death, and I'm still hanging in.

My current target site has an impossible prize for those that get enough points to qualify. The qualifying points are conveniently the 3000 points a day you get for simply logging in. Why, for playing for free would they possibly cheat you out of your free chip play?

To qualify for the impossible to win tourney you need enough points. If you are short on points you can always click on their offers and get a huge number of points. Surely the offers cost $$.

Today at lunch I Googled cheating at poker. Universally it was posts that people that claim it's rigged are wrong. I saw lots of lame messages that attacked the pro-rigged crowd. Amusingly one was loaded with stats on flops and and hole cards and thousands of hands of play. Things are stastically cool - x number of players get an Ace and x number of players get a pair.

It's not that these stats are wrong, it's who gets those cards. Invariably(after the free trial period) if I go in all in with pocket queens I can expect to lose to kings, aces, flush or straight after The Magic River Card. On the current target site it actually shows up more often on the turn.

It's all an illusion. You are not really playing against real people. Most of the time.

On one site that claims at times 50,000 plus people at a time I got involved with my first big mult-player game ever. Being a newbie I went all in on the first hand and magically survived with a push on the first hand. The other splitter was completely obnxious. Challenged my manhood, poker skills and worth of being on the planet.

That site has a "find player" option. Found him in a seven card stud tourney of thousands of people. Not being in the tourney myself I watched the game unfold. Not only was he completely silent unlike his obnoxious attacks before he even called a hand that he couldn;t win with the table cards showing.

AI to pad out the roster.

Thursday, June 28, 2007

The stastically unreasonable - Part 1

And this has a tie in to the "Free Trial period" to be discussed later. Actually, there will be lots of tie ins.

My all time favorite online poker experience is when I had worn out my welcome on a site and they just wanted me to go away. Poker is a win or lose, very few draws with split pots game.

Texas Hold'em - pair of KKs in the hole. OK that's worth a call. I end up winning a bunch of chips.

Next hand, another pair of kings!!! Wow I'm doing great. Someone raises, I call. The someone raises all in after an ace is flopped. I'm the chip leader with a great hand. I fold. My what a surprise, a pir of aces.

Now wait a second, wasn't I supposed to go all in with the last pair of kings and lose to two aces? Yep. But I didn't. So how about a third pair of kings?

Yep, go that. Folded immediately as stastically unreal.

And I got a king on the first card the next hand. I don't remember the outcome of the game, but I did a little math on the odds of getting seven kings in a row. The answer - ridculous. Freaking, not once in my lifetime but since the world ever existed ridiculous. All because they wanted to cheat me out of my stupid free poker chips.

I invite you - what are the odds of drawing seven consecutive kings (inluding only one poker winner.)

S

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Online Poker Fraud

I have a list of poker sites that are not for real based on personal experience and expectations on the ones I haven't visited yet. The list of fraudelent ones follows:


All of them.


I've been playing online games for over 15 years and have been screwed over consistently during that time. Every once in awhile I've had a tiny bone thrown my way, but when it comes to crunch time and something important is on the line I've been disappointed without exception. I consider myself one of the top forensic internet game anaysts in the world. What invariably happens is that I separate myself from the run of the mill crowd and irk the high class competition. The high class competition includes the people that run the site. Naturally, they do not like to lose. The thought that an outsider can beat them at their own game is offensive. The strange and unbelievable experiences I've had amaze me.

In general the key to realizing what is real and what is not has been my solid foundation in mathematics. The very first game I proved was not on the up and up was a game called Archmage. I don't know and don't care if it still exists. Gain power, train troops get killed by someone, kill them back, stockpile troops, kill some more. Eventually you get frustrated at not making progress and stockpile an impossible number of troops that couldn't possibly lose...but still you do.

After farting around with other ridiculous Archmage style games I gave up and turned to chess and poker. I have achieved an official USCF Expert chess rating, and the sites I play on occassionally out of boredom tell me I'm a complete fish.

So for the last three years I've turned to poker. I'm a very good poker player. On a scale of one to ten I'll give myself an eight. Not good enough to go to Vegas and make it my career, but good enough that I should win more than I should lose. I earned my college spending money by killing guys at poker. But online, I butt heads with the game admins and have to suffer through all the non-realistic garbage that they throw at you.

As a forensic game analyst playing poker I've identified the following major groups of BS:

The player that can't possibly lose
The player that doesn't sleep
Idle chit chat that makes it look like the game is for real
Statiscal impossibilites
Feeding, especially during what I call the "free trial period"
Irrational betting patterns
The Magic River Card
Annoying the game admins
Taking advantage of the rules to succeed
Not getting booted for bad behavior (you're only playing against AI, why should you be reprimanded?)

But, Ah, where to start here? Let's go with the player that doesn't sleep.
I don't have a wife or girlfriend. The dogs haven't complained too much. I have lots of free time on my hands to do abnormal things - like get up at 1:00 in the morning and play. Including non-drunken and rational play when people I played with supposedly for real 4 hours ago are still playing like drunk and irrational chumps. The answer is that it's not a real player - it's a position created by the admins to fill out the roster.

One particularly bogus site that will go nameless to protect the guilty - the claim is that at times that up to 50,000 plus people are playing at the same time. I would log in and see the same(untalented) player no matter when I logged in. He should have been sleeping or out of chips, but NOOOO instead he's winning hands like crazy. As for the guilty, the player's name started with AK, in case you're paying attention.

Next up - the statiscally impossible
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...